A report launched in Nairobi last week presented a bleak forecast regarding the country’s capacity to meet its millennium development goals and execute a socio-economic turnaround. The report, Reasonable Goals for Reducing Poverty in Africa – Targets for Post 2015 MDGs and Agenda 2063, ranks sixth among top 10 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa with large populations living in extreme poverty, and says failure to reduce poverty is threatening Kenya’s economic success. The study used the International Futures forecasting system to explore this goal and established that many African states are unlikely to make this target by 2030. In addition to the use of country-level targets, this paper argues in favour of a goal that would see Africa as a whole reducing extreme poverty to below 20 per cent by 2030 and to below three per cent by 2063.
The other countries with the largest populations of extremely poor people are Nigeria, Democratic Republic of Congo, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Madagascar, Uganda, Mozambique, Malawi and Burundi in that order. All the countries but Burundi have populations of more than 10 million living in extreme poverty.
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